Shane Kim: Xbox 360 has 7 year lifespan - bit-tech.net Forums

CardJoe · 14th May 2008, 10:39

http://www.bit-tech.net/news/2008/05...ear-lifespan/1

Xbox boss Shane Kim has said that he believes the Xbox 360 can manage seven years without a sequel - twice that of the original Xbox.

RotoSequence · 14th May 2008, 10:43

Its a bit of an extreme example, But look at what people have done with Commodore 64s. Just because technology is advancing doesn't mean it's obsolete and useless - at least not as much as the computing industry would like you to believe.

It's cheaper for the consumer in the long run as well.

r4tch3t · 14th May 2008, 10:57

Didn't MS say that games wouldn't need the space offered by HD disks as a dual layer DVD would be plenty?

bowman · 14th May 2008, 10:58

The consoles already look and run worse than a decent, mid-range low budget gaming pc - imagine in 2010 and on how woefully outdated they will seem.

If anything they are digging their own grave. Maybe some outsider will challenge them on their turf in the midlife of their consoles, like MS did with the Xbox originally.

Tomm · 14th May 2008, 11:00

I guess this is all based on Sony's strategy. If the PS3 is going to be around for ten years then why would MS need to release another console until around that time?

Hustler · 14th May 2008, 11:14

7 year lifespan does'nt mean no new console for 7 years, just means they will continue to support the 360 AFTER they have released a follow up in 2010/2011.

badders · 14th May 2008, 11:16

It occurs to me, that with all the RRoD's happening, then your xbox only has a 3 year lifespan. as soon as the Warranty's up and you get one, you're stuffed!

cjoyce1980 · 14th May 2008, 11:35

i would expect new xbox around 2010/2011, and sony and nintendo to have there machine aready around then too i'm sure.

consoles usually have a 5 year life span, buy that time graphics technology in PC's have jump so far above consoles, that new console have to appear just to appear to be keeping up.

Bauul · 14th May 2008, 12:25

Well the PS2 is still having games brought out for it and it's nearly eight years old now. Remember Sony only brought the PS3 out 6.5 years after the PS2 first went on sale, and no-one complained they'd waited far too long. A 7 year life-span is about right in my opinion.

SNIPERMikeUK · 14th May 2008, 12:39

I think in 7 years it is safe to say you will get a red ring, microsoft will be so busy.....

tuaamin13 · 14th May 2008, 12:40

If they can get the reliability of the system up so that it doesn't matter if there's a 3 year RROD warranty, then I have no problem with a 7 year lifespan. I wouldn't mind getting a new console every 6-7 years; I'll have my PC for bleeding edge.

Multiple systems gets you the best of the gaming world.

Hg · 14th May 2008, 13:12

Quote:

Originally Posted by bowman

The consoles already look and run worse than a decent, mid-range low budget gaming pc - imagine in 2010 and on how woefully outdated they will seem.

If anything they are digging their own grave. Maybe some outsider will challenge them on their turf in the midlife of their consoles, like MS did with the Xbox originally.

The PS2 came out in late 2000 and its still on sale now with plenty of games in its catalogue. A seven year life cycle doesn’t seem crazy to me, saves people having to buy a new console every few years…
Also as we have seen with the PS2, graphics will improve over the xbox360's life span due to developers refining their code for the machine and possibly new updates in the firmware etc.

scarrmrcc · 14th May 2008, 13:37

yeah, the 360 is plenty scale-able.

with firmware, and software updates, and the occasional add-in hardware, it is like a lesser PC.
i can see it going for 7 years.....if they can just keep the things running.

DXR_13KE · 14th May 2008, 14:40

Quote:

Originally Posted by scarrmrcc

and the occasional add-in hardware

that worked very well for the genesis

devdevil85 · 14th May 2008, 16:38

I wonder if they'll make it smaller like the PS2 later on.....but they'll have to get past the RRoD first....

slugbug · 14th May 2008, 16:42

A seven year lifespan? I've already been through three of them in a little over two

devdevil85 · 14th May 2008, 18:56

Quote:

Originally Posted by slugbug

A seven year lifespan? I've already been through three of them in a little over two

LOL! Idk, I see everyone jumping ship just like the with the original Xbox, so this 7-year lifespan thing is (probably) more geared towards the "casual" owners of the system *cough* arcade *cough* that won't just go out and buy the next generation.....

parallaxscroll · 5th Jun 2008, 19:30

I expect the next generation Xbox to arrive in 2010 or 2011, and no later than 2012. The Xbox 360 will have been on the market for an absolute minimum of 5 years before the next-gen Xbox arrives, but most likely, 6 years, because I think the next Xbox is most likely to launch in 2011.

I expect PS4 to arrive no sooner than 2011 (2011 is unlikely but somewhat possible) probably / most likely 2012, yet no later than 2013, thus, no longer than 7 years after PS3's 2006 launch.

When Sony said PS3 would have a 10 year life, they meant it would be on the market for 10 years, but *NOT* that PS4 would launch 10 years after PS3, in 2016. The PS1 lasted for about 10 years but PS2 launched 5-6 years after PS1. The PS2 has been on the market 8 years and will last 10, yet PS3 launched just over 6 years after PS2. It'll be roughly the same with PS4, 6-7 years after PS3.

14th May 2008, 10:39	#1
CardJoe Player Character bit-tech Staff Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 7,940	Shane Kim: Xbox 360 has 7 year lifespan http://www.bit-tech.net/news/2008/05...ear-lifespan/1 Xbox boss Shane Kim has said that he believes the Xbox 360 can manage seven years without a sequel - twice that of the original Xbox. __________________ this is joe's non-bit-tech blog

14th May 2008, 10:43	#2
RotoSequence Lazy Lurker Join Date: Jan 2004 Location: 'States Posts: 4,527	Its a bit of an extreme example, But look at what people have done with Commodore 64s. Just because technology is advancing doesn't mean it's obsolete and useless - at least not as much as the computing industry would like you to believe. It's cheaper for the consumer in the long run as well. __________________ Technology Schmecnology

14th May 2008, 10:57	#3
r4tch3t hmmmm.... Join Date: Aug 2005 Location: New Zealand Posts: 2,882	Didn't MS say that games wouldn't need the space offered by HD disks as a dual layer DVD would be plenty? Last edited by CardJoe; 14th May 2008 at 11:09.

14th May 2008, 11:00	#5
Tomm I also ride trials :¬) Join Date: Apr 2004 Location: Fallowfield, Manchester Posts: 2,233	I guess this is all based on Sony's strategy. If the PS3 is going to be around for ten years then why would MS need to release another console until around that time? __________________ Carrot cake cheesecake Shuttle SN85G4V2 \| A64 3200+ / Apple PowerBook 12 Last edited by CardJoe; 14th May 2008 at 11:10.

14th May 2008, 12:25	#9
Bauul Sir Bongaminge Join Date: Apr 2007 Location: Godalming, near Guildford Posts: 1,553	Well the PS2 is still having games brought out for it and it's nearly eight years old now. Remember Sony only brought the PS3 out 6.5 years after the PS2 first went on sale, and no-one complained they'd waited far too long. A 7 year life-span is about right in my opinion. __________________ Pentium 4 CPU 3.4 Ghz \| 1Gb + 2x512Mb Corsair DDR2 667 Mhz Sapphire Radeon HD 4770 512Mb\| WD Raptor 36Gb, Seagate 300Gb \| Asus P5LD2 SE Ibanez RG 470 Japanese Edition \| 1991 Japanese Lo-TRS Tremolo \| V7 S1 Custom V8 HSH Pickups

14th May 2008, 10:58	#4
bowman Multimodder Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 249	The consoles already look and run worse than a decent, mid-range low budget gaming pc - imagine in 2010 and on how woefully outdated they will seem. If anything they are digging their own grave. Maybe some outsider will challenge them on their turf in the midlife of their consoles, like MS did with the Xbox originally.

14th May 2008, 11:14	#6
Hustler Multimodder Join Date: Aug 2005 Location: The Dark Side Posts: 115	7 year lifespan does'nt mean no new console for 7 years, just means they will continue to support the 360 AFTER they have released a follow up in 2010/2011.

14th May 2008, 11:35	#8
cjoyce1980 Supermodder Join Date: Jul 2007 Location: UK Posts: 343	i would expect new xbox around 2010/2011, and sony and nintendo to have there machine aready around then too i'm sure. consoles usually have a 5 year life span, buy that time graphics technology in PC's have jump so far above consoles, that new console have to appear just to appear to be keeping up.

14th May 2008, 12:39	#10
SNIPERMikeUK Multimodder Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: Notts, UK Posts: 134	Red Ring's All Around!!! I think in 7 years it is safe to say you will get a red ring, microsoft will be so busy..... __________________ SNIPERMikeUK

14th May 2008, 12:40	#11
tuaamin13 Minimodder Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 32	If they can get the reliability of the system up so that it doesn't matter if there's a 3 year RROD warranty, then I have no problem with a 7 year lifespan. I wouldn't mind getting a new console every 6-7 years; I'll have my PC for bleeding edge. Multiple systems gets you the best of the gaming world.

14th May 2008, 13:37	#13
scarrmrcc Modder Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 57	yeah, the 360 is plenty scale-able. with firmware, and software updates, and the occasional add-in hardware, it is like a lesser PC. i can see it going for 7 years.....if they can just keep the things running.

14th May 2008, 16:38	#15
devdevil85 Hypermodder Join Date: Nov 2006 Location: US of A Posts: 884	I wonder if they'll make it smaller like the PS2 later on.....but they'll have to get past the RRoD first....

14th May 2008, 16:42	#16
slugbug Going Broke Saving Money Join Date: Nov 2007 Location: Canada Posts: 96	A seven year lifespan? I've already been through three of them in a little over two

5th Jun 2008, 19:30	#18
parallaxscroll What's a Dremel? Join Date: Jun 2008 Posts: 1	I expect the next generation Xbox to arrive in 2010 or 2011, and no later than 2012. The Xbox 360 will have been on the market for an absolute minimum of 5 years before the next-gen Xbox arrives, but most likely, 6 years, because I think the next Xbox is most likely to launch in 2011. I expect PS4 to arrive no sooner than 2011 (2011 is unlikely but somewhat possible) probably / most likely 2012, yet no later than 2013, thus, no longer than 7 years after PS3's 2006 launch. When Sony said PS3 would have a 10 year life, they meant it would be on the market for 10 years, but NOT that PS4 would launch 10 years after PS3, in 2016. The PS1 lasted for about 10 years but PS2 launched 5-6 years after PS1. The PS2 has been on the market 8 years and will last 10, yet PS3 launched just over 6 years after PS2. It'll be roughly the same with PS4, 6-7 years after PS3.