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Hardware Intel claims Moore's Law is alive and well

Discussion in 'Article Discussion' started by Combatus, 30 Mar 2017.

  1. Combatus

    Combatus Bit-tech Modding + hardware reviews Lover of bit-tech Super Moderator

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  2. edzieba

    edzieba Virtual Realist

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    I don't think we'll see the result of any 'stance shifting' for many years. Architecture development takes a [n]LONG[/b] time, so the next few nodes and generations we'll see will be things that were in development long ago. Remember that it took AMD a decade to respond to Core 2's smash hit desktop line, and 6 years if you count from Bulldozer/15h's flop. Even if you assume AMD did nothing whatsoever on the development of Zen until after Keller returned, that's still a 5 year lag time.
     
  3. Birdy

    Birdy What's a Dremel?

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    This is just Intel marketing, no? I think some critical though could be applied. If this is an Intel sponsored article that ought to be mentioned.

    Abstract:
    Intel managed to come up with a few tricks to make transistors smaller. Turns out making really small stuff is really complicated, such much so that that said tricks need a fancy, meaningless marketing name like Hyper-scaling. Intel says it is keeping up with Moor's law.
    Intel marketing slides included.

    Oh, and no-one mention Samsung.
    ( Debate topic: Is Samsung's 10nm node equivalent to Intel's? )
     
  4. somidiot

    somidiot Minimodder

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    I don't know that I agree, there's not that big a difference in performance (15% in most benchmarks) between the same price point of 5 years ago and today's processors, looking at the i5-2400 and the current i5-6400. So Moore's law is dead to me. If they've been getting faster results, etc. then they're keeping their hands on that performance to themselves, greedy *******s.
     
  5. Maki role

    Maki role Dale you're on a roll... Lover of bit-tech

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    Well Antony did fly out there and back again to attend this press event, seems a bit complex for just a simple Intel paid job dontcha think?
     
  6. rollo

    rollo Modder

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    Birdy no its not. The below post explains it easier between Intel and TSMC.

    Understanding how foundries name their process nodes: Intel’s 10nm versus TSMC 10nm and beyond

    The answer lies in the fact that Intel’s naming standards and TSMC’s naming standards are drastically different. Intel’s processes use the same backbone as the advertised node (a 14nm process will use a 14nm backbone) while as all pure play foundries use a mixture of process technologies. TSMC’s 16nm FinFET tech for example uses a 20nm backbone (BEOL). So it is almost a certainty that they will be using a 14nm BEOL for their ’10nm finfet’ node.

    Intels Transitor gate pitch is 14nm smaller than Samsung at the same marketed nodes. Samsung is 84nm Intel is 70nm thats at 14nm node size. Intels old 16nm is still smaller technically than Samsungs 14nm stuff.
     
  7. GreekUser

    GreekUser What's a Dremel?

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    Intel claims we can't read a gad-damn diagram.

    1st picture
    Between 2008-2010. Shows 1.75 years for an 2.3x increase. That's 1.31x increase per year.
    Between 2014-2018. Shows 3.50 years for an 2.7x increase. That's 0.77x increase per year.
    A good 40% slow down. Almost halved.

    2nd picture
    It shows about the same thing. At the begging gradient is steep. The angle is bigger than the average. Which means that it has to be smaller as we move to the right. And indeed, not only the angle decreases but the decrease continues all the way to the last section (2014-2018) where is the smallest.

    Honestly, I am insulted.
     
    Last edited: 2 Apr 2017
  8. Corky42

    Corky42 Where's walle?

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    Moore didn't say anything about performance increases, that was David House, Moore said that the number of transistors on a given chip could double every year, something he revised a decade later to two years.
     
  9. Gareth Halfacree

    Gareth Halfacree WIIGII! Lover of bit-tech Administrator Super Moderator Moderator

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    To be specific, Moore's "Law" was this short extract from a longer editorial written for Electronics Magazine in 1965:
     
  10. Corky42

    Corky42 Where's walle?

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    Yea i was going to quote that but worried i didn't understand the complexity cost bit. :blush:

    One part of that article i found interesting though was when he wrote something like 65k transistors would be feasible, I've not looked up where we are today but I guess that 65k number is an understatement half a century later.

    Things like that always make me smile as what must have seemed like an impossible task at the time turned out to be a massive understatement. :)
     
  11. Gareth Halfacree

    Gareth Halfacree WIIGII! Lover of bit-tech Administrator Super Moderator Moderator

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    "Complexity for cost" basically means how complex a chip you can have for a particular cost. Year one you pay $5, you get a five-thousand transistor chip; year two you pay the same $5 but get a ten-thousand transistor chip; year three you're still paying the same $5 but getting a twenty-thousand transistor chip.

    Basically, anyone tracking Moore's Law shouldn't be tracking the absolute number of transistors on a chip, but the transistors-per-dollar - 'cos that's what he was originally talking about.

    Well, Nvidia's latest graphics chips have 12 billion transistors on 'em...
     
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