Is BT saying xDSL is dead?

"ITWeek yesterday published some interesting comments from John Davies the outgoing BT Wholesale chief operating officer. The main thrust of this was "Broadband is not just a DSL landscape and DSL will have to learn to survive among many other players," said Davies. "We are in a Jurassic age of broadband populated by dinosaurs."

This is very true, even at present Broadband in the UK is a combination of cable modems, ADSL and a scattering of wireless. Certainly in raw technology terms ADSL is almost old hat now and it is likely that in 3 to 4 years, ADSL will seem as old fashioned as PSTN modems do now. The cable modem services themselves are likely to suffer similar fates, they have been deployed for around 2-3 years in the UK, and have only made it up to 1Mbps speeds, when the technology is capable of much more – just as DSL variants like VDSL are capable of much more."

http://www.adslguide.org.uk/newsarchive.asp?item=896

 

The only dinosaurs are BT them selves.*

And when BT finialy decide to launch VDSL to business how many exchanges do you think they will upgrade in the first year? My guessis about 2


*Im not disputing the fact that ADSL is really old and rather crap.

 

Anyone else remember the urban legend about BT offering to hook the UK up to a broadband network during the 80s, for free.
And the government turned them down

And I recently also read somewhere (linked from [H] I believe) that engineers in Europe managed something in the region of 63MB/s over exisiting lines using a new protocol.

And finally, I think it's a shame that existing technology is old and ISPs still can't get it right and offer a reliable service

 

if only the technology became old faster, then maybe we'd get something useful

 

Thing is, they have the technology but wont install it with the excuse that there's not enough demand. But how do they know when they can't even service the customers they've already got properly?